Presidential Debate September 29, 2020

I will both watch the debate and tape it.  I will review what the fact checkers reveal.  I am interested in both policy and truthfulness.  If it turns out that Biden lied the most during the debate, I will say so.  I will post my comments on Wednesday.  I suggest those who have not made up their minds, this debate should be watched carefully.   Politifact and factcheck websites will likely catch many of the misinformation.

Stay tuned,



Knowledge on the Cheap

I love good books.  Former Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner,    Nobel Prize winner, Paul Krugman, White House insider John Bolton,   Bob Woodward (two times Pulitzer Prize winner) and Rachel Maddow are wonderful writers, who have written books recently.

When Bob Woodward’s new book care out, I was already reading Michael Cohen’s book, Disloyal, and it was time to go to Kindle.  I am in the midst of Woodward’s book, “Rage” reading it using Kindle for PC’s.  It was time to go digital, and it’s working.   Eat, sleep and read.

Stay tuned,




Who not to vote for

The choices are Republican, Democrat, Libertarian, and Green Party.

I will not vote for someone who in their nomination speech, lasting 45 minutes made 20 misleading or false statements.  I would not vote for someone who has lied over 20,000 times while in office.  I would not vote for someone who has installed political anti-environmentalists with experience in lobbyist activities for fossil fuel companies  in the Environmental Protection Agency, Department of Interior, and Department of Agriculture.  I would not vote for someone who would abolish many important programs and regulations established by President Obama, because they were done during his administration.   The Paris Climate Accords was one program that was working and put the US in a leadership on Climate Change.

I also believe in a Justice Department which does not chose sides.  I want a president that does not attack his own FBI and other agencies.  For these reasons, and many more, I will not vote for Donald Trump, the candidate for the Republican Party.

I will not vote for either third party candidates, Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian Party)  or  Howie Hawkins (Green Party).  Neither candidate has any chance of winning any state.  It is a wasted vote.     Jorgensen would like to eliminate many programs helping seniors (social security/ Medicare) and young adults and new families  (student loans and health care).    The Green Party understands we have an environmental crisis, but they will take votes away from Democrats.  The  Republican Party has tried to get them on the ballot, exactly for this purpose.

So,  I will vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, who have the experience and pro-actively solving problems in the next 4 years.   They will help us “Build back better”  after the wreckage left by Donald Trump.  We will rebuild our alliances with  Europe and Asia,  end unnecessary trade wars,  find cooperative solutions to climate change  and work together to solve global problems.

Stay tuned,


Visit my other site: The only site with all 2020 Election Predictions

Sim538: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

A candidate for president must win at least 270 of the 538 electoral votes.  There are many forecasts of who will win the election.  You can google them or you can go to this website, which has all of predictions:

US 2020 Presidential Election Predictions
This is the only site with all 2020 US Election Predictions

I run this website. Sim stands for simulation.  We use numerical simulation to estimate the chance that either Donald Trump or Joe Biden will win the election.   I offer a consensus estimate of who will win based on the results of 20 different websites. is updated very regularly .  There  will be new predictions  done after the national conventions.   Is Trump becoming stronger or weaker?  What do the experts say?

Larry Sabato, a well known for his election predictions website (Sabato’s crystal ball)  appeared on cable news recently.  He was of course asked about his prediction.  From his electoral map, it certainly looked like Joe Biden would win.  But he was smart,  and would not respond directly to the question of who would win.  He knew that there was going to be intense campaigning by both Trump and Biden, and all forecasts are subject to change.

So, please check out my site.

Stay tuned,


Republicans who will not back Trump

“Folks we are better than this”  Elijah Cummings favorite saying.   A new book will be coming out soon.  It may have been in preparation prior to his untimely passing.  He always had a very positive spirit.

A long list of well known Republicans will not vote for Trump,  Some will do it quietly, with no explicit endorsement of Biden.  See Forbes article at the bottom of this blog.    Many names are very familiar, such as John Bolton, Colin Powell, Jeb Bush and  George W. Bush, Chief of Staff, John Kelly recently stated he wished there were other choices.  Former Defense Department Secretary under Trump, General Mattis, has voiced opposition to Trump.   Other ex-Trump officials have spoken out against him as well, including Homeland Security advisor Tom Bossert, communications staffer Omarosa Manigault, National Economic Council director Gary Cohn, Navy Secretary Richard Spencer, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and National Security advisor John Bolton,

Former Homeland Security Department Chief of Staff Miles Taylor accused Trump of withholding disaster aid from blue states and claiming “magical authorities” above the law. Miles Taylor served at the Department of Homeland Security from 2017 to 2019, including as chief of staff. As so many have reported, Donald Trump looks first as policy as a marketing scheme to get himself re-elected.  It is more of what would be popular among his base.  This comes from many lifelong Republicans including the former Director of the National Security Agency, John Bolton.  Bolton is not endorsing Biden, just not voting for Trump.

Among those voting for Biden are Bush administration Secretary of State Colin Powell  and  Carly Fiorina, a former Hewlett Packard CEO and GOP presidential candidate.  She was briefly the running mate of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.), so her political views are similar to Ted Cruz,  She cannot support Trump.  Carly Fiorina stated,  “Character matters, as does leadership and [Trump] has neither.”

Policy can’t be what makes the president looks good on Fox News.   His acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention contained 20 lies or misleading statements.  I will post the list soon.

Excerpts from  Miles Taylor:

The president has tried to turn DHS, the nation’s largest law enforcement agency, into a tool used for his political benefit. He insisted on a near-total focus on issues that he said were central to his reelection — in particular building a wall on the U.S. border with Mexico. Though he was often talked out of bad ideas at the last moment, the president would make obviously partisan requests of DHS, including when he told us to close the California-Mexico border during a March 28, 2019, Oval Office meeting — it would be better for him politically, he said, than closing long stretches of the Texas or Arizona border — or to “dump” illegal immigrants in Democratic-leaning sanctuary cities and states to overload their authorities, as he insisted on several times.

John Kasich ran for President as a Republican.  He will Biden a unifier.  He talked about restoring and rejuvenating America.

The Honorable John Kasich
Former Governor of Ohio
Democratic National Convention
Monday, August 17, 2020

America is at a crossroads. Sometimes elections represent a real choice, a choice we make as individuals and as a nation about which path we want to take when we’ve come to challenging times. America is at that crossroads today. The stakes in this election are greater than any in modern times.

Many of us have been deeply concerned about the current path we’ve been following for the past four years. It’s a path that’s led to division, dysfunction, irresponsibility, and growing vitriol between our citizens. Continuing to follow that path will have terrible consequences for America’s soul because we’re being taken down the wrong road by a president who has pitted one against the other. He’s unlike all of our best leaders before him, who worked to unite us, to bridge our differences, and lead us to a united America.

I’m a lifelong Republican, but that attachment holds second place to my responsibility to my country. That’s why I’ve chosen to appear at this convention. In normal times, something like this would probably never happen, but these are not normal times. I’m proud of my Republican heritage. It’s the party of Lincoln, who reflected its founding principles of unity and a higher purpose. But what I have witnessed these past four years belies those principles.

Many of us can’t imagine four more years going down this path, and that’s why I’m asking you to join with me in choosing a better way forward. I believe the best of America lies ahead, but only when we rediscover our shared belief in the United States of America, for our children’s future, which can be bright, hopeful, and inspired if we choose to make it so.

I’ve known Joe Biden for 30 years. I know his story of profound grief that has so deeply affected his character. I know Joe is a good man, a man of faith, a unifier, someone who understands the hopes and dreams of the common man and the common woman, a man who can help us to see the humanity in each other. He knows that the path to a restored and rejuvenated America lies in respect and unity and a common purpose for everyone.

Yes, there are areas where Joe and I absolutely disagree. But that’s OK because that’s America. Because whatever our differences, we respect one another as human beings, each of us searching for justice and for purpose.

We can all see what’s going on in our country today and all the questions that are facing us, and no one person or party has all the answers. But what we do know is that we can do better than.

August 17-20, 2020


Former cabinet officials have witnessed Trump’s craziness.   I hope to add to this blog.  Please see the Forbes article.

Stay tuned,



All The Republicans Who Have Endorsed Joe Biden For President