Prediction made 11/8 at 6:39 pm
Clinton wins NH, Nevada, Florida, NC
Trump wins OH, Iowa, Maine (CD2), Nebraska, Arizona, Utah. Georgia, Arizona
So Clinton has 268 in the strong + likely category plus 54 in toss-up states to win with 322 EV which is 52 EV over what she needs.
But Clinton might win Ohio, giving her 328 EV, which I give about a 40% chance.