Florence appears to be a very powerful hurricane. South Carolina residents on the coastal areas are taking the evacuation orders seriously. This is very good. The best way to survive a hurricane is to leave.
I wrote about the relationship between hurricanes and climate change in a prior blog. It isn’t cause and effect sort of thing. Warm water makes hurricanes wetter. Winds can intensify if the hurricane movement slows over warm weather. But the relationships become pretty complex.
One group of scientists, the GFDL (Geophysics Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) has studied the history of hurricanes and relationships using computer modeling. They are apart of the NOAA, responsible for weather research at the federal level. Their conclusion is the number of hurricanes in the future is not likely to go up due to global warming. But they will be stronger and more devastating. Bad news. Here is their conclusion:
A review of existing studies, including the ones cited above, lead us to conclude that: it is likely that greenhouse warming will cause hurricanes in the coming century to be more intense globally and have higher rainfall rates than present-day hurricanes.
I’ve seen what a force 5 hurricane can do – totally destroy houses, cars and boats. And it kills people as tears through an area. More die from flooding, electrocution and lack of medical facilities, after the hurricane. Wet hurricanes, like Maria and Katrina caused drownings.
It was a hot topic after Hurricane Maria devastated Puerto Rico and Hurricane Irma destroyed homes on both east and west coasts of South Florida. Irma was a monster, and I have friends still haggling with insurance companies and trying to rebuild.
The reaction from the former EPA administrator Scott Pruitt was unbelievable, when asked about the contribution of global warming after Hurricane Maria. He shot back saying the question was “insensitive” to the suffering of Puerto Ricans. The EPA was not involved in recovery efforts. The hurricane season going from June to November is exactly the right time to bring up the fact that we are doing nothing on climate change, except pretend it doesn’t exist. I think January to December are all good months to address global warming and hurricanes.
Al Gore referred to the consequences of global warming, 12 years ago as the “inconvenient truth.”
I honestly feel very sorry for the residents of South Carolina. I hope they get the hell away from the coastal areas, ASAP. But, global warming is here, and global warming catastrophes are real and deadly.
Note – Global warming is no longer part of EPA’s vocabulary. They are the ones that should be working to curb carbon emissions. NOAA can only make predictions, not change policy.
NOAA GFDL Website: Global Warming and Hurricanes
Sun Sentinel: Now is the right time to talk about climate change