There is little doubt in my mind, that the evidence is strong enough to impeach Trump. Ambassador Taylor provided more details on the what the Ukrainian President had to deliver before receiving 391 million dollars in aid. He had to announce in public that an investigation into Biden’s son prior work in Ukraine was being undertaken. This would be linked to Vice President Biden efforts to get the Ukrainian Chief Prosecutor fired.
Trump will lose in the House. I predict a vote taken in the House in late December or early January. Then the matter goes to the Senate. A vote along party lines mean that Trump will win. How can Republicans vote to find Trump innocent can be answered in several ways. First, that this deal never went through. The Ukrainian President never announced an investigation of any kind. Second, people like Ambassador Taylor was not in constant contact with the President, and at any time Trump could change his mind. Finally, the charges against him (Articles of Impeachment) do not rise to the level of misconduct to send Trump packing.
At present, the Republicans are arguing that the impeachment inquiry is illegal because the House has not passed a resolution to begin the inquiry. It doesn’t need to. The inquiry is legal. The Fox News has yet to present on legal scholar which will say otherwise. The inquiry can take place behind closed doors. Both Republicans and Democrats take part in the questioning.
So, what is the final outcome? I believe Trump will not be found guilty by a 2/3 vote and will immediately claim victory. Maybe I’m wrong, We shall see.
Stay tuned,
Dave